Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 16.174271 18.313556 20.701968 23.579536 26.970033 30.859426 35.689687
2025-10-12 13.661669 16.490956 19.915100 24.414241 30.244855 37.650388 47.939200
2025-10-19 11.627174 14.614624 18.422031 23.718984 31.041603 41.029849 56.086226
2025-10-26 10.696948 13.917492 18.208967 24.487172 33.685525 47.085486 68.912879
2025-11-02 9.634604 12.876163 17.349203 24.160788 34.623380 50.721485 78.738194
2025-11-09 8.747804 11.960211 16.527365 23.728296 35.258872 53.892327 88.355230
2025-11-16 8.052682 11.236334 15.885900 23.452798 36.044691 57.354339 99.141379
2025-11-23 7.371800 10.464100 15.084161 22.809747 36.101773 59.529138 107.949086
2025-11-30 6.897307 9.956680 14.631280 22.662233 36.952427 63.208674 120.537757
2025-12-07 6.302645 9.214994 13.741625 21.681517 36.183558 63.715260 126.532121
2025-12-14 5.730910 8.467878 12.782662 20.483450 34.861913 62.930790 129.456946
2025-12-21 5.354630 8.005489 12.251374 19.978868 34.772822 64.592690 138.475457
2025-12-28 5.532647 8.463699 13.306888 22.470252 40.918423 80.621886 188.588513
2026-01-04 5.392872 8.384924 13.439744 23.274780 43.818048 90.247933 225.883818
2026-01-11 5.038340 7.915850 12.847209 22.618295 43.528598 92.357244 242.147124
2026-01-18 4.919481 7.842370 12.952854 23.342437 46.358231 102.704039 288.511851
2026-01-25 4.666297 7.515823 12.569542 23.034831 46.806451 107.060336 316.862825
2026-02-01 4.421252 7.187929 12.158672 22.627139 46.961923 110.676832 344.316811
2026-02-08 4.214674 6.916325 11.833680 22.367384 47.436363 115.301872 378.050404
2026-02-15 3.981885 6.583472 11.368486 21.760911 46.972847 117.131181 401.433713
2026-02-22 3.820966 6.373581 11.127043 21.621755 47.674817 122.636091 444.008475
2026-03-01 3.582656 6.007353 10.555801 20.696280 46.218983 121.150030 453.694902
2026-03-08 3.337009 5.616383 9.914710 19.564911 44.096061 117.177662 449.846870